With Letchworth Annual Property Values 4.7% Higher, This is My 2018 Forecast…..

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Looking at the newspapers between Christmas and New Year, it seemed that this year’s sport in the column inches was to predict the future of the British housing market. So to go along with that these are my thoughts on the Letchworth property market.

With the average 5-year fixed rate mortgage at 1.98% (down from 3.47% in 2014) and 2-year fixed rate at 1.47% (down from 2.37% in 2014), mortgage interest rates offered by lenders are at an all-time low (even with the slight increase on the Bank of England base rate a few months ago). Added to this, there has been a low unemployment rate of 3.7% in Letchworth, which has contributed to maintain a decent level demand for property in Letchworth in 2017 (interestingly – an impressive 392 Letchworth properties were sold in last 12 months), whilst finally, the number of properties for sale in the town has remained limited, thus providing support for Letchworth house prices, meaning …

Graph_01

Letchworth Property Values are 4.7% higher

than a year ago

 

 

However, moving into 2018, there will be greater pressures on people’s incomes as inflation starts to eat into real wage packet growth, which will wield a snowballing strain on consumer confidence. Interestingly though, information from the website Rightmove suggested over a third of property it had on its books in October and November had their asking prices reduced, the highest percentage of asking price reductions in the same time frame, over five years. Still, a lot of that could have been house-sellers being overly optimistic with their initial pricing.

brexit-2123573_1920In terms of what will happen to Letchworth property values in the next 12 months, a lot will be contingent on the type of Brexit we have and the impact on the whole of the UK economy. A lot of people will talk about the Central London property market in the coming year, and if the banking and finance sectors are negatively affected with a poor Brexit deal, then the London market is likely to see more of an impact.

Nevertheless, the bottom line is Letchworth homeowners and Letchworth landlords should be aware of what happens in the rollercoaster housing market of Central London, but not panic if prices do drop suddenly there in 2018. Over the last 8 years, the Central London property market has been in a world of its own (Central London house prices have grown by 89.6% in those last 8 years, whilst in Letchworth, they have only risen by 67.4%). So we might see a heavy correction in the Capital, whilst more locally, something a little more subdued.

Hindsight is always better than foresight and predicting anything economic is all well and good when you know what is around the corner. At least we have the Brexit divorce settlement sorted and, as the UK economy and the UK housing market are intertwined, it all depends on how we deal as a Country with the Brexit issue. However, we have been through the global financial crisis reasonably intact … I am sure we can get through this together as well?

Oh, and house prices in Letchworth over the next 12 months? I believe they will end up between 1% higher and 2.4% higher, although it will probably be a bumpy ride to get to those sorts of figures.

If you would like to read more articles on my thoughts on the Letchworth property Market – please visit the Letchworth Property Market Blog  http://www.letchworthpropertyblog.co.uk

 

One thought on “With Letchworth Annual Property Values 4.7% Higher, This is My 2018 Forecast…..

  1. I think you are probably about right with your prediction. Although growth could actually be slightly higher in Letchworth. Will Brexit really have an impact this year? The markets may dip a bit, but ordinary house buyers are likely to want to get on with their lives. The BTL market is likely to be down in this area with the tax changes and the smaller yields, but first-time buyers may just have a chance with the stamp duty cut. I think the fact London is likely to see a modest fall in prices, the will be a continuing trend of London homeowners selling to take the cash out and buy a larger property in the suburbs. This could mean Letchworth gains from this move and may see better growth. Of course stronger growth is more likely in Northern areas when there is major investment and better affordability. Sandbach for example (a town much like Hitchin) has a very lively market with a strong tenant demand and great rail links to Manchester and London

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